[Peakoil] Milton Friedman discovers a new source of energy
Keith Thomas
keith at evfit.com
Thu Jan 18 07:39:04 EST 2007
I found this quote today. Perfection!! What a ....'genius'! Friedman
discovered
another source of energy---prices!! Surely that is worth a second Nobel
Prize..for Physics!
After he died, the American Enterprise Institute and other
'double-think tanks' practically
deified this jerk. When energy stocks rapidly decline I predict a
literal witch-hunt for these 'academics'.
____________________________
Nobel Laureate Milton Friedman:
(part of an interview)
Ravaioli: But there are many other environmental problems ...
Nobel Laureate Friedman: Of course. Take oil, for example. Everyone
says it's a limited resource: physically it may be, but economically
we don't know. Economically there is more oil today than there was a
hundred years ago. When it was still under the ground and no one knew
it was there, it wasn't economically available. When resources are
really limited prices go up, but the price of oil has gone down and
down. Suppose oil became scarce: the price would go up, and people
would start using other energy sources. In a proper price system the
market can take care of the problem.
Ravaioli: But we know that it takes millions of years to create an oil
well, and we can't reproduce it. Relying on oil means living on our
capital and not on the interest, which would be the sensible course.
Don't you agree?
Nobel Laureate Friedman: If we were living on the capital, the market
price would go up. The price of truly limited resources will rise over
time. The price of oil has not been rising, so we're not living on the
capital. When that is no longer true, the price system will give a
signal and the price of oil will go up. As always happens with a truly
limited resource.
Ravaioli: Of course the discovery of new oil wells has given the
illusion of unlimited oil …
Nobel Laureate Friedman: Why an illusion?
Ravaioli: Because we know it's a limited resource.
Nobel Laureate Friedman: Excuse me, it's not limited from an economic
point of view. You have to separate the economic from the physical
point of view. Many of the mistakes people make come from this. Like
the stupid projections of the Club of Rome: they used a purely
physical approach, without taking prices into account. There are many
different sources of energy, some of which are too expensive to be
exploited now. But if oil becomes scarce they will be exploited. But
the market, which is fortunately capable of registering and using
widely scattered knowledge and information from people all over the
world, will take account of those changes. [ p. 33, ECONOMISTS AND THE
ENVIRONMENT, Carla Ravaioli; Zed, 1995 ]
------------------------------------
Keith
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