[Peakoil] Fwd: can you put this on the email forum please? Ta.

[Antony Barry]

Begin forwarded message:

> From: "Jgoldie" <jgoldie at snowy.net.au>
> Date: 17 January 2007 5:22:15 PM
> To: "Antony Barry" <tony at tony-barry.emu.id.au>
> Subject: can you put this on the email forum please? Ta.
> Reply-To: "Jgoldie" <jgoldie at snowy.net.au>
>
> Tony
>
> Would you put my letter in today's Canberra Times on the ACT Peak  
> Oil list? Thanks, Jenny
>
> Dark barrels
>
>
> Thank you for giving such prominence to the article "The Bad Oil on  
> Iraq" (January 13, Forum, pB1).
>
>
> It was one of those defining pieces that deserves to be read by all  
> decision-makers.
>
>
> We have used up 1.1trillion barrels of conventional oil and,  
> assuming there was only ever 2trillion or so, we are certainly  
> around the peak of Hubbert's global bell curve. It is evident that  
> the oil-producing states are not able to lift current production  
> beyond 85 million barrels a day despite increasing demand from  
> growing economies and rising populations (76 million extra people  
> in the world every year).
>
>
> It is only a matter of time before oil production will fall by  
> about 3 per cent a year as Dick Cheney predicted in 1999.
>
>
> If we are to avoid massive economic disruption, or indeed resource  
> wars, we must adopt some kind of mechanism to share the remaining  
> reserves.
>
>
> Richard Heinberg outlines one such mechanism in his book The Oil  
> Depletion Protocol, in which all nations reduce their oil  
> consumption at the same or at a greater level than natural  
> depletion rates.
>
>
> He suggests these will be about 2.6per cent annually.
>
>
> A possible silver lining on this particular dark cloud is that, as  
> we reduce oil consumption and move to a low carbon economy, it may  
> just save us from runaway global warming.
>
>
> Jenny Goldie, Michelago, NSW
>
>
>
>
>
> ________________________________________________
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