[Peakoil] Fw: News item Federal Govt should release suppressed 2009 "Peak Oil" report

[Jenny Goldie]

----- Original Message ----- 
From: Bruce Robinson 
To: Bruce.Robinson at ASPO-Australia.org.au 
Sent: Friday, January 20, 2012 4:18 PM
Subject: News item Federal Govt should release suppressed 2009 "Peak Oil" report


 

News release 20th January 2011

Govt should release 2009 "Peak Oil" report

 

The Federal Government has been accused by a Sydney newspaper of hiding a valuable "Peak Oil" report which forecasts global oil shortages by 2017.

 

(http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/opinion/all-evidence-of-this-treachery-went-down-the-memory-hole/story-e6frezz0-1226248729853)

 

The Bureau of Infrastructure, Transport and Regional Economics (BITRE) prepared a valuable 400 page report in 2009 "Transport Energy Futures: Long-term oil supply trends and projections which models future oil production from very detailed data.  The report concludes  "The modelling is forecasting what can be termed 'the 2017 drop-off'. The outlook under a base case scenario is for a long decline in oil production to begin in 2017, which will stretch to the end of the century and beyond".

 

Copies of the report are available on the Australian Institute of Energy website, http://aie.org.au/StaticContent/Images/Report_120106.pdf   and via other links on ASPO-Australia.

 

ASPO-Australia calls on the Federal Government to release the valuable BITRE 117 report, as it provides further evidence that the world will face serious fuel shortages this decade.

 

Many other authoritative bodies, from the US and German Defence Departments, IEA, Macquarie Bank and the IMF as well as Sir Richard Branson have warned about global oil shortages as production from existing giant oilfields starts declining faster than new oilfields are brought on-stream.  Many Peak Oil forecasts suggest the decline will start in two or three years, before the more conservative 2017 in the BITRE report.

 

Transport planners and investors in infrastructure like toll-roads, tunnels and airports need to know the risks of Peak Oil, which will probably mean peak traffic on roads and at airports.

The Government Energy White Paper does not refer to the BITRE report, which is directly and vitally relevant to future transport energy policies.

State and local governments should be planning now for possible future fuel rationing when Peak Oil does occur, but the suppression of the BITRE report is inhibiting sensible preparations.

 

For further information, contact Bruce Robinson, Convenor, ASPO-Australia on 0427 398 708

 

 

 

Bruce Robinson

Convenor, ASPO-Australia

Australian Association for the Study of Peak Oil & Gas. 

www.ASPO-Australia.org.au

Bruce.Robinson at ASPO-Australia.org.au

Skype   Bruce-ASPO

 

2 Barsden St,

Cottesloe  WA  6011

Western Australia

61-8-9384-7409     mobile 0427 398 708