[Peakoil] Tom Waring

[Leigh Kite]

Sorry I can't join in the fun just yet guys.

I love the way this Tom Waring dude just says that we're pessimists, and 
just says that if this, this and that happens everything will be different. 
Does he think that a large amount of "wanting" the price to come back down 
will make it all OK?

Let him have it with both barrels I say (no pun intended).  :)

By the way, I'll be there this Tuesday, is it 19:30 again?

Cheers,

Leigh

----- Original Message ----- 
From: "Shane S" <void_genesis at hotmail.com>
To: <peakoil at act-peakoil.org>
Sent: Friday, June 30, 2006 5:16 PM
Subject: RE: [Peakoil] Tom Waring


> Here is the draft guys...last minute input appreciated
>
> ------------------------
>
> While Tom Waring's sunny assertions on the glut of cheap oil just around 
> the corner (June 30) are in accord with many economists and government 
> bodies this position doesn't stand up to close scrutiny.
>
> All the advanced technology in the world isn't going to put more oil in 
> the ground or repeal the laws of thermodynamics. The spectacular decline 
> in production rates of the UK's North Sea fields of ~10% per year since 
> 2000 are a good example of the end result of more sophisticated 
> extraction.
>
> The well-established Australian decline rates of 5% per year mean that 
> regardless of what happens overseas, Australia will become more vulnerable 
> to the effects of oil dependency. And does Tom seriously believe that the 
> Middle East or central Africa could become stable "tomorrow"?
>
> High oil prices are already reducing Australian car use. Public transport 
> systems are experiencing sharply increased patronage.
>
> Rather than waiting to fill our already grid locked cities with hydrogen 
> cars for every man, woman and child shouldn't we be investing in more 
> efficient public transport alternatives today?
>
> Australians bought more bicycles than cars last year....if only we could 
> use them more without taking our lives into our hands dodging oblivious 
> 4W-drivers.
>
> Lastly it would have been nice if Tom had mentioned that he works for the 
> Australian Bureau of Agriculture and Resource Economics.
>
>
>
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