[Peakoil] News items on peak oil 21 Jan 2006

[Antony Barry]

Begin forwarded message:

> Date: 21 January 2006 5:05:58 AM
>
> Independent Online Edition > Environment
>
> What they don't want you to know about the coming oil crisis
> All this concerns gas, of which there are undoubtedly huge proved  
> reserves left in the ground (even if half of them are in Russia and  
> Iran). Consider oil. The geopolitical risks are the same. Only last  
> week Iran threatened to retaliate by cutting oil supplies if Europe  
> continued to meddle in what it sees as its right to develop a  
> nuclear programme. Where oil differs from gas is that a debate is  
> fast emerging about whether we have enough reserves to meet needs  
> in the short term...
>
> <http://news.independent.co.uk/environment/article339928.ece>
>
>
> CHALLENGES 2005-2006: Oil Market Analysts Issue Dire Warnings
>
> CARACAS, Dec 29 (IPS) - While this year's record high oil prices  
> are unlikely to come down in the near future, analysts are warning  
> the world's traditional and emerging economic powers to curb  
> consumption, saying that at the current rate, proven reserves will  
> only meet demand up to 2030.
> "The current model (of consumption) is suicidal," Venezuelan Energy  
> Minister Rafael Ramírez recently told journalists. "The United  
> States, for example, will use up its oil reserves in 10 years, and  
> after that it will go after its rivers, lakes and forests."
> This month, Democratic Party lawmakers in the U.S...
>
> <http://www.ipsnews.net/news.asp?idnews=31614>
>
>
> AlterNet: 2006: The Year of Oil Collapse?
>
> Editor's note: This is one of three perspectives AlterNet has  
> assembled on the prospect of peak oil and its implications for  
> modern society and the global economy. The other two are from World  
> Watch: Christopher Flavin writes that while we can't know exactly  
> when oil production will start declining, we must focus on  
> alternatives to petroleum now; and Robert K. Kaufman describes the  
> role the market and government should play in helping to make the  
> transition from a petroleum-dependent society.
> The suburban housing bubble and its related activities were  
> predicated on the idea that we could continue...
>
> <http://www.alternet.org/story/30640>
>
>
> EV World: The World of Electric, Plug-in Hybrid, Fuel Cell and  
> Alternative Fuel Vehicles
>
> SYNOPSIS: No one knows when oil production will start declining,  
> but we must focus on alternatives to petroleum now.
> It turns out that most of the forecasters who are responsible for  
> the long-term energy projections on which private and public  
> decision makers rely -- from Wal-Mart to the International Energy  
> Agency -- have been on automatic pilot, assuming that whatever the  
> future level of demand, the oil companies will be able to extract  
> sufficient oil to meet it. You don't have to be a card-carrying  
> member of the "peak oil" school that has gathered behind former  
> Shell geologist...
>
> <http://www.evworld.com/view.cfm?section=communique&newsid=10675>
>
>
> EV World: The World of Electric, Plug-in Hybrid, Fuel Cell and  
> Alternative Fuel Vehicles
>
> 2005 ASPO oil conference presentation by Suncor executive vice  
> president Michael Ashar on the potential of Alberta’s ‘oil sands’.
> It can't be said that the organizers of the November 2005 ASPO USA  
> "peak oil" conference held in Denver weren't willing to consider  
> the role to be played by unconventional hydrocarbon reserves in  
> replacing declining conventional oil production worldwide,  
> including oil shale and tar sands, both of which are in abundant  
> supply in North America. They asked Michael Ashar, an executive  
> vice president with Suncor, one of the early Canadian tar sand  
> pioneers, to talk about these rich...
>
> <http://www.evworld.com/view.cfm?section=article&storyid=948>
>
>
> Peak oil piques energy concern North County Times - North San Diego  
> and Southwest Riverside County columnists
>
> The high natural gas prices on most Americans' minds this winter  
> may be the least of our worries when it comes to energy. What if  
> oil itself, the lubricant and fuel that keeps our entire  
> industrialized world running, is running out?
> "We need to drill in the outer continental shelf because that's  
> where the oil is," John Felmy, chief economist for the American  
> Petroleum Institute, told the assembled editorialists.
> Echoing Felmy's vision of inevitable offshore drilling was Energy  
> Secretary Samuel Bodman, who offered the seminar's rosiest outlook  
> for the United States' energy future. Matthew Simmons, an  
> investment...
>
> <http://www.nctimes.com/articles/2005/12/18/opinion/devine/ 
> 20_54_0812_17_05.txt>
>
>
> [E] - Biodiesel: The Burning Question (by Jim Motavalli)
>
> Some Experts Worry That Production Will Soon Peak. Others Warn That  
> It Already Has.
> In 1938, oil was discovered at Dhahran, near the Persian Gulf, and  
> a small oasis became a modern city, complete with the sleek  
> headquarters of the Saudi Aramco national oil company. If you’re an  
> American or British oil worker, life is good in the Dhahran Hills,  
> where homes in the suburban enclaves are made of brick or  
> fieldstone, and despite the desert heat the gardens blossom with  
> large shade trees, flowering bougainvillea and oleander. There are  
> bike paths, a 27-hole golf course, a rugby...
>
> <http://www.emagazine.com/view/?3004>
>
>
> EV World: The World of Electric, Plug-in Hybrid, Fuel Cell and  
> Alternative Fuel Vehicles
>
> Q&A with Tom Petrie and Chris Skrebowski at ASPO USA World Oil  
> Conference
> That's why follow-up Q&A (question and answer) sessions are  
> invaluable windows into the minds of the speakers. Granted, you  
> won't always elicit complete candor or fully gain insight into the  
> thinking behind the professional facade, but they can be quite  
> revealing, as the Q&A sessions that were part of the Association  
> for the Study of Peak Oil - USA conference in Denver in November  
> 2005 reveal. Q&A's are also an excellent way to judge the mood of  
> the audience, what...
>
> <http://www.evworld.com/view.cfm?section=article&storyid=951>
>
>
> EnergyPulse - Insight Analysis and Commentary on the Global Power  
> Industry
>
> OK. So I didn't actually show up in Washington. But – for the  
> reasons described below - I should have been there. It's not vanity  
> or ego. I just see a huge gap in the testimony. Most of the  
> testimony given on December 7, 2005 focused on oil in the ground,  
> exploration, reserves, and production. Good stuff. But it missed a  
> few key points.
> I agree in concept with most of the testimony given at The  
> Subcommittee on Energy and Air Quality on December 7, 2005. Udall,  
> Aleklett, Bartlett, Esser, Hirsch, et al. They didn't mince their  
> words. All...
>
> <http://www.energypulse.net/centers/article/article_display.cfm? 
> a_id=1167>
>
>
> Alternative News & Information
>
> Peak oil refers to the time when the maximum rate of extraction  
> from a specific location (or the world as a whole) is at a maximum.  
> Beyond the peak of extraction follows a steady and continuous decline.
> Peak oil is most likely a term most readers have not heard before.  
> That is about to change. The concept is slowly making its way onto  
> the mainstream stage. It is intruding into the fringes of the  
> public conscience and soon it may occupy the greater part. When  
> that time comes, as it inevitably will, and probably sooner than  
> you think, the world...
>
> <http://mathaba.net/0_index.shtml?x=504345>
>
>
> Girding Up For the Power Grid
>
> [This long, non-technical and extremely well-written article on the  
> future of the power grid is a must read. The Electric Power  
> Research Institute (EPRI) is by no means a progressive body. It is  
> a creation of the electrical generating industry. But if Steve  
> Silberman’s analysis is correct (and I think it is), you can take  
> out the fact that Peak Oil and gas are ignored and there’s a  
> presumption of continued growth in this report and see some  
> startling trends. The future of electrical power generation – this  
> will make Catherine Austin Fitts happy – lies in micro...
>
> <http://www.fromthewilderness.com/free/ww3/120805_world_stories.shtml>
>
>
> Peak oil - Jan 16 | EnergyBulletin.net | Peak Oil News Clearinghouse
>
> With major oil refineries idled and scores of offshore oil  
> platforms knocked out, the price of gas continues to wreak havoc  
> across the land.
> Click on this .pdf icon to download a 2-sided sheet about what the  
> imminent arrival of peak oil means for our future. It also suggests  
> solutions applicable to Australian conditions and culture. The  
> sheet's small type-size has enabled us to mention many of the ways  
> peak oil could affect us and to present many possible responses.
> Submitter MOS in Ireland writes:This was the lead article in the  
> Irish Times today, but it...
>
> <http://www.energybulletin.net/12099.html>
>
>
> Printer Friendly Version
>
> The United States must prepare for the inevitable day when fuel oil  
> supplies run short. If the White House won't lead, the states should.
> Running short on fuel oil should. The world, according to energy  
> experts, has either reached or is nearing peak oil supply. That  
> isn't to say that we've pumped oil reserves dry, but that much of  
> it will remain inaccessible to today's technology that would  
> consume as much energy extracting the oil as it would produce.
> Matthew Simmons, investment banker and author of "Twilight in the  
> Desert: The Coming Saudi Oil Shock and...
>
> <http://www.roanoke.com/printer/printpage.aspx?arcID=44948>
>
>
> AlterNet: Over the Peak
>
> No one knows when oil production will start declining, but we must  
> focus on alternatives to petroleum now. Tools
> As oil prices soared from $24 per barrel in early 2003 to a peak of  
> $70 per barrel in September 2005, the question being asked by  
> experts and policy makers alike was whether we've "entered a new  
> era," as Chevron Corporation CEO David O'Reilly has said, or just  
> encountered a temporary glitch that will be corrected by market  
> forces, as ExxonMobil President Rex Tillerson argued in a speech to  
> the World Petroleum Congress last September. The most intriguing  
> thing...
>
> <http://www.alternet.org/story/30653>
>
>
> ASPO - The Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas
>
> The newsletter is administrated by ASPO Ireland and compiled by  
> Colin J. Campbell the way he looks at Peak Oil.
> Proceedings of the 2nd Interna- tional Workshop On Oil Depletion  
> Paris 26 and 27 May, 2003
> Proceedings of the First Interna- tional Workshop on Oil Depletion,  
> Uppsala, Sweden, May 2002
> The first number of World Watch 2006 has five articles about Peak Oil.
> Oil: A Bumpy Road Ahead - Kjell Aleklett, Association for the Study  
> of Peak Oil & Gas is one of the articles. ( read more )
> The House of Representatives energy subcommittee met Wednesday  
> morning, December 7, 2005, to learn more...
>
> <http://www.peakoil.net>
>
>
> Gas and Oil Depletion - Scotland
>
> Oil Depletion Conference : The End of Oil - Conference on Peak Oil,  
> Food and the Economy
> Oil Depletion Conference : Peak Oil UK - Entering the Age of Oil  
> Depletion
> Colin Campbell, founder of the Association for the Study of Peak  
> Oil (ASPO)
> Depletion Scotland member Phil Hart has created his own easy-to- 
> read, colourful introduction to Peak Oil
> A There is a big difference between oil supplies not running out,  
> and supply meeting demand. Ever since the first oil was drilled in  
> the USA in 1862, oil production has always been greater than demand  
> ie. we have always been able to...
>
> <http://www.depletion-scotland.org.uk/index.htm>
>
>
> CERA: Cambridge Energy Research Associates
>
> Oil & Liquids Capacity to Outstrip Demand Until At Least 2010: New  
> CERA Report
> CAMBRIDGE, Mass., June 21, 2005 – Despite current fears that oil  
> will soon “run out,” global oil production capacity is actually set  
> to increase dramatically over the rest of this decade, according to  
> a new report by Cambridge Energy Research Associates (CERA). As a  
> result, supply could exceed demand by as much as 6 to 7.5 million  
> barrels per day (mbd) later in the decade, a marked contrast to the  
> razor-sharp balance between strong demand growth and tight supply  
> that is currently reflected in high oil prices...
>
> <http://www.cera.com/news/details/print/1,2317,7453,00.html>
>
>
> Speech for the New York Petrocollapse Conference
>
> October 5, 2005 (FTW) – NEW YORK -- Most people who have come to  
> this conference; indeed, perhaps even some of the presenters here  
> today, have come with a serious misconception. That misconception  
> is a belief that there is an urgent need to somehow make key  
> decision makers and leaders of American and global life aware of  
> the immediate problems of Peak Oil and Natural Gas.
> In fact, by understanding clearly that political, economic and  
> business elites have been aware of Peak Oil and its deadly  
> implications, we can see that remedial actions designed to save  
> lives and minimize the effects of...
>
> <http://www.fromthewilderness.com/free/ 
> ww3/100405_petrocollapse_speech.shtml>
>
>
> Nature & Society Forum
>
> < Click on this .pdf icon to download a 2-sided sheet about what  
> the imminent arrival of peak oil means for our future. It also  
> suggests solutions applicable to Australian conditions and culture.  
> The sheet's small type-size has enabled us to mention many of the  
> ways peak oil could affect us and to present many possible responses.
> An excellent introduction is at the Energy Bulletin site. Sheppard  
> Bliss discusses the use of Peak Oil as metaphor.
> We will know it has happened only in hindsight, perhaps 2-3 years  
> after the event occurs. One early sign is fluctuating...
>
> <http://www.natsoc.org.au/html/peak_oil.html>
>
>
> The Oil Drum | A Community Discussion about Peak Oil
>
> Sorry but I can't resist this quote. There was an ASPO meeting in  
> the UK yesterday. The invited along Michael Lynch, who among other  
> things had the following comment: He says that the study of peak  
> oil is not a science and that those who advocate it are guilty of  
> naiveté, ignorance and plain manipulation of the data. "There are a  
> lot of zealots out there and a lot of claims are made which are not  
> tested," he says. "It is true that oil is finite but since 1989  
> people have repeatedly predicted the peak too soon and have...
>
> <http://www.theoildrum.com>
>
>
> Peak Oil News and Message Boards >> Peak Oil News and Message Boards
>
> What they don't want you to know about the coming oil crisis
> Soaring fuel prices, rumours of winter power cuts, panic over the  
> gas supply from Russia, abrupt changes to forecasts of crude  
> output... Is something sinister going on? Yes, says former oil man  
> Jeremy Leggett, and it's time to face the fact that the supplies we  
> so depend on are going to run out
> Unrest in the country's oil-rich delta region helped to drive crude  
> prices this week to $66 a barrel.
> IWHREKAN, NIGERIA – Want to know why the price of oil is climbing  
> again...
>
> <http://www.peakoil.com>
>
>
> Peak Oil Primer | EnergyBulletin.net | Peak Oil News Clearinghouse
>
> Peak Oil is the simplest label for the problem of energy resource  
> depletion, or more specifically, the peak in global oil production.  
> Oil is a finite, non-renewable resource, one that has powered  
> phenomenal economic and population growth over the last century and  
> a half. The rate of oil 'production,' meaning extraction and  
> refining (currently about 84 million barrels/day), has grown in  
> most years over the last century, but once we go through the  
> halfway point of all reserves, production becomes ever more likely  
> to decline, hence 'peak'. Peak Oil means not 'running out of oil',  
> but 'running out...
>
> <http://www.energybulletin.net/primer.php>
>
>
> Peak Oil News and Message Boards >> Production; Extraction;  
> Exploration >> Does Thermal Depolymerization Solve the Problem of  
> Peak Oil?
>
> It depends on which "problem" of peak oil you mean. Many people  
> have pointed out that the polymers that CWT uses require energy to  
> produce and that energy, these days, comes mostly from fossil  
> fuels. Depolymerization cannot extract more energy from the  
> polymers than went into creating them; it will always extract less.  
> In this view, depolymerization is very useful for making the  
> downward slope from peak oil less steep because it makes our use of  
> fossil fuel energy more efficient (almost all proposed source  
> materials for depolymerization are wastes of one kind or another,  
> so the energy it produces...
>
> <http://peakoil.com/article21.html>
>
>
> End of Cheap Oil @ National Geographic Magazine
>
> You wouldn't know it from the hulking SUVs and traffic-clogged  
> freeways of the United States, but we're in the twilight of  
> plentiful oil. There's no global shortage yet; far from it. The  
> world can still produce so much crude that the current price of  
> about $30 for a 42-gallon barrel would plummet if the Organization  
> of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) did not limit  
> production. This abundance of oil means, for now, that oil is  
> cheap. In the United States, where gasoline taxes average 43 cents  
> a gallon (instead of dollars, as in Europe and...
>
> <http://magma.nationalgeographic.com/ngm/0406/feature5/index.html>
>
>

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