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\rsid16714681\rsid16715760\rsid16726002\rsid16727422\rsid16734076\rsid16737155\rsid16741654}{\*\generator Microsoft Word 11.0.0000;}{\info{\title ACT Peak Oil}{\author Alex Pollard}{\operator Alex Pollard}{\creatim\yr2010\mo8\dy20\hr13\min59}
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{\pntxtb (}{\pntxta )}}{\*\pnseclvl9\pnlcrm\pnstart1\pnindent720\pnhang {\pntxtb (}{\pntxta )}}\pard\plain \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\itap0 \rtlch\fcs1 \af0\afs24\alang1025 \ltrch\fcs0 
\fs24\lang1033\langfe1033\cgrid\langnp1033\langfenp1033 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid12799940 {\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname place}}{\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname PlaceName}}ACT{\*\xmlclose} {\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname PlaceType}}Peak
{\*\xmlclose}{\*\xmlclose} Oil}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid5656783 
\par }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid12799940 
\par Election 2010 policy summary
\par 
\par 
\par 
\par ALP
\par 
\par The ALP\rquote s }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid12799940\charrsid12799940 Infrastructure Australia}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid12799940  initiatives over the last term have been }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 
\b\insrsid12799940\charrsid12799940 welcome}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid12799940 . They consist of urban rail, roadworks and coal rail upgrades. The }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid12799940\charrsid12799940 urban rail component}{
\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid12799940  is to be }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid12799940\charrsid12799940 commended}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid12799940 . It shows an appreciation of the problems of urban transport and 
a willingness to take }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid16266709 some political risks}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid12799940  and commit government funds in a substantial way. The other initiatives will probably in hindsight be assessed as a 
suboptimal allocation of resources.
\par 
\par The campaign commitment to build the }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid12799940\charrsid12799940 Paramatta-Epping link}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid12799940  is also }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid12799940\charrsid12799940 
welcome}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid12799940  and should be seen as a concrete example of the potential for government to be visionary drivers of change for real social benefit in the face of coming challenges.
\par 
\par By way of comparison, the }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid12799940\charrsid12799940 Cash for Clunkers}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid12799940  announcement is a clear example of how government can actually }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 
\b\insrsid12799940\charrsid12799940 hinder rather than further progress}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid12799940  toward coping with Peak Oil. $400 million is to be diverted from renewable energy programs to put pre 1994 cars out of use. 
It is not as yet clear, but this program could hobble a burgeoning electric car-conversion industry. These cars could be converted to be electric, saving on the costs of remanufacturing an entire car chassis. 
Each chassis contains a similar amount of embodied energy, in steel and plastics to what the car will have consumed in its engine over its lifetime. ACT Peak Oil urges the ALP to }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid12799940\charrsid16535296 
only require the destruction of }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid16266709 each }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid12799940\charrsid16535296 internal combustion engine}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid12799940 
, and not the entire car chassis, to obtain the $2000 bounty.}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid16535296  ACT Peak Oil is not convinced that the mass-production of electric cars }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid16266709 so as }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 
\ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid16535296 to turnover the entire petroleum-dependent car fleet is a desirable or achievable objective from a climate and Peak Oil perspective. By contrast a backyard electric car conversion industry has far less downside
 and offers the potential for }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid16266709 local, e}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid16535296\charrsid16535296 conomically sustainable, }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid16266709 and }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 
\ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid16535296\charrsid16535296 diverse employment opportunities}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid16535296  across {\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname place}}{\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname country-region}}Australia{\*\xmlclose}
{\*\xmlclose}.}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid12799940 
\par }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid16535296 
\par The }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid16535296\charrsid16535296 National Broadband Network}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid16535296  has great potential for eliminating the tyranny of distance and the alienation wrought
 by inadequate public transport throughout our cities. No matter what transport system is chosen, it will use vast amounts of energy, through its construction, maintenance and operation. Laying high-bandwidth fibre only once down ev
ery street is on the face of it }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid16535296\charrsid16266709 much cheaper}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid16535296  than having to indefinitely }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid16266709 maintain}{
\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid16535296  transport system}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid16266709 s}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid16535296 , including those very same bitumen streets. Access to petroleum 
and its derivatives such as petrol, diesel and bitumen will become more costly and prone to sudden shocks such as the recent BP and Macondo disasters.}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid9323381  
Wireless technology will not provide scope for upload speeds comparable with download speeds. This asymmetry will hinder innovative new applications such a }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid9323381\charrsid9323381 telemedicine}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 
\ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid9323381 .}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid16535296 
\par }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid16266709 
\par }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid11817544 The ALP\rquote s }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid11817544\charrsid11817544 Mineral Resource Rent Tax}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid11817544  demonstrates a capacity to recog
nise that a limited and }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid11817544\charrsid11817544 non-renewable resource should not be squandered}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid11817544 . Further policy 
development along these lines with regard to the consumption of and dependence on petroleum resources would be welcome.
\par }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14747900 
\par The Gillard Labor government has also demonstrated understanding by having a }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid14747900\charrsid11360382 Minister for Sustain}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid11360382\charrsid11360382 a}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 
\ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid14747900\charrsid11360382 ble Population}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14747900 . Over time, resource depletion }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid11360382 will}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14747900  become }{
\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid11360382 a}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14747900  }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid11360382 key}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14747900  }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid11360382 topic}{
\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14747900  in the }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid11360382 population debate.}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14747900 
\par }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid11817544 
\par }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid16266709 The postponed }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid16266709\charrsid16266709 Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid16266709 
 would have gone some way toward changing attitudes toward energy consumption and resource constraints. The exemption of fuel was however a defect. In any case the proposed carbon caps or price would not have taken account of or been commensurate with 
the scarcity of oil. The proposed deferment and citizens\rquote  assembly may provide }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid16266709\charrsid16266709 an opportunity to explicitly address Peak Oil}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid16266709 
 and develop holistic policies which address it in tandem with Climate Change.
\par 
\par The ALP }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid16266709\charrsid11817544 fails to explicitly mention Peak Oil}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid16266709  in its }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14747900 federal }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 
\insrsid16266709 policy material. }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14747900 The WA branch did however in its June 2009 platform, probably due to the }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid14747900\charrsid14747900 inspiring leadership of Alannah M
acTiernan}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14747900 , former state transport minister and candidate for the federal seat of Canning.
\par 
\par }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid11360382 Many Labor MPs are aware of Peak Oil but t}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid16266709 he ALP would do better by directly addressing the issue}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14747900  }{
\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid11817544 and the trauma it will bring}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid16266709 , but importantly in }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid16266709\charrsid16266709 a coherent }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 
\b\insrsid11360382 and }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid16266709\charrsid16266709 thoughtful manner}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid16266709  without resort to stunts like }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid11817544 C}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 
\ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid16266709 ash for }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid11817544 C}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid16266709 lunker}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid11817544 s}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid16266709 
, ethanol or other on}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid11360382 c}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid16266709 e-off boondoggles.
\par 
\par Coalition
\par 
\par The Coalition }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid11817544 too }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid11817544\charrsid11817544 fails to mention Peak Oil}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid11817544 .}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid16266709 

\par }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid11817544 
\par The Coalition does not seem to have much enthusiasm for addressing urban transport issues apart from road funding. Indeed Mr Abbott wrote in }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \i\insrsid11817544\charrsid11817544 Battlelines}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 
\insrsid11817544  that \'93}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \lang9\langfe1033\langnp9\insrsid11817544\charrsid11817544 there just }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\lang9\langfe1033\langnp9\insrsid11817544\charrsid11360382 aren't enough people}{\rtlch\fcs1 
\af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \lang9\langfe1033\langnp9\insrsid11817544\charrsid11817544  wanting to go from a particular place to a particular destination at a particular time }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 
\b\lang9\langfe1033\langnp9\insrsid11817544\charrsid11360382 to justify any vehicle larger than a car}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \lang9\langfe1033\langnp9\insrsid11817544\charrsid11360382  and cars need roads}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 
\lang9\langfe1033\langnp9\insrsid11817544 \'94.}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid11817544 
\par 
\par From past performance the Coalition can be }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid11817544\charrsid11817544 more restrained}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid11817544  than the ALP in spending money on once-off stunts that }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 
\ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid9323381 can}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid11817544  actually do more harm than good, such as the clunkers proposal.
\par 
\par The abandonment of the }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid11817544\charrsid11817544 National Broadband Network}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid11817544  would be a backward step as we presently have the }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 
\b\insrsid11817544\charrsid14747900 opportunity to install it at relatively low }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid14747900\charrsid14747900 energy prices}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14747900  as}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 
\insrsid11817544  compared to future prices.
\par }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14747900 
\par The Coalition\rquote s climate policy }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid14747900\charrsid14747900 doesn\rquote t provide much scope}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14747900  for addressing Peak Oil. However agriculture advocate }{\rtlch\fcs1 
\af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid14747900\charrsid14747900 Senator Heffernan}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14747900  is aware of the coming challenges of world food production and this would in some way find some 
expression in government policy, perhaps by enhancing soil quality with biochar.
\par }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid9323381 
\par 
\par }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid11360382 
\par The Greens
\par 
\par The Greens }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid11360382\charrsid9323381 are the standout party}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid11360382  with regard to Peak Oil.
\par 
\par They show great understanding of the {\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname place}}{\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname PlaceName}}transformation{\*\xmlclose} {\*\xmlopen\xmlns2{\factoidname PlaceType}}Peak{\*\xmlclose}{\*\xmlclose} Oil will bring. It is not really 
necessary to read the policy tea-leaves on this because they actually address the issue explicitly}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid9323381  in their policy material}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid11360382 .
\par }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid9323381 
\par The ALP\rquote s }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid9323381\charrsid9323381 proposed inland rail study}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid9323381  can probably be put down to }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid9323381\charrsid9323381 
pressure from the Greens}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid9323381 .
\par 
\par }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid1592657 G}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid9323381 overnment action and influence should not be regarded as the panacea }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid1592657 for}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 
\insrsid9323381  Peak Oil \endash  in fact there really are}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid1592657 n\rquote t any}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid9323381  solutions }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid1592657 at all, that\rquote 
s the problem. Regardless the }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid1592657\charrsid1592657 Greens\rquote }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid9323381\charrsid1592657 growing influence}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid9323381  is desperately n
}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid1592657 eeded as the crisis deepens.}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af0 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid9323381 
\par }}